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Red109
406138.3
371134.6
214813.7
Blue78
412011.7
577918.1
293044.1
66%Model gave it34%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions7663204010012014016010978

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
38.31.6
33.835.4
Auto-0.1
Teleop38.4
End0.0
blue by 5.7
44.10.5
41.542.0
Auto0.7
Teleop43.4
End0.0
Second
34.61.6
32.834.4
Auto-0.1
Teleop34.7
End0.0
red by 16.5
5779
#23
18.10.5
14.314.8
Auto-0.2
Teleop18.2
End0.0
Third
2148
#17
13.71.6
10.311.9
Auto1.0
Teleop12.7
End0.0
red by 2.0
4120
#31
11.70.5
11.311.9
Auto-0.2
Teleop11.9
End0.0