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Red56
410411.8
445037.9
357512.4
Blue67
292316.8
323838.3
460825.2
30%Model gave it70%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions477801001502005667

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
37.90.7
34.735.4
Auto-0.1
Teleop38.0
End0.0
blue by 0.4
3238
#10
38.30.5
35.334.9
Auto-0.2
Teleop38.5
End0.0
Second
3575
#32
12.40.7
9.910.6
Auto0.2
Teleop12.2
End0.0
blue by 12.8
25.20.5
22.822.3
Auto-0.0
Teleop25.2
End0.0
Third
4104
#26
11.80.7
9.310.0
Auto-0.1
Teleop11.9
End0.0
blue by 5.0
2923
#15
16.80.5
18.017.6
Auto-0.2
Teleop17.0
End0.0