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Red49
159540.5
369317.7
430918.7
Blue153
448874.2
412518.9
214721.2
28%Model gave it72%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions6710205015020025049153

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
40.51.3
36.234.9
Auto0.2
Teleop40.2
End0.0
blue by 33.7
74.22.6
67.570.2
Auto0.3
Teleop73.8
End0.0
Second
4309
#22
18.71.3
19.718.4
Auto0.8
Teleop17.9
End0.0
blue by 2.5
2147
#18
21.22.6
19.522.1
Auto0.0
Teleop21.2
End0.0
Third
3693
#25
17.71.3
19.117.8
Auto0.2
Teleop17.4
End0.0
blue by 1.2
4125
#27
18.92.6
13.416.0
Auto0.3
Teleop18.6
End0.0