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Red82
358833.2
451322.9
508511.7
Blue111
408220.9
577918.1
445037.9
48%Model gave it52%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions6069010015020025030035082111

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
33.20.9
31.832.7
Auto0.5
Teleop32.7
End0.0
blue by 4.6
37.92.1
35.437.5
Auto-0.1
Teleop38.0
End0.0
Second
4513
#19
22.90.9
22.123.0
Auto0.5
Teleop22.4
End0.0
red by 2.0
4082
#13
20.92.1
19.721.8
Auto0.6
Teleop20.3
End0.0
Third
5085
#33
11.71.0
9.910.9
Auto-0.1
Teleop11.8
End0.0
blue by 6.3
5779
#23
18.12.1
14.816.9
Auto-0.2
Teleop18.2
End0.0