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Red163
323838.3
159540.5
293044.1
Blue50
451322.9
430918.7
412011.7
98%Model gave it2%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1203905010015020016350

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
44.12.6
42.044.6
Auto0.7
Teleop43.4
End0.0
red by 21.2
4513
#19
22.90.2
23.022.9
Auto0.5
Teleop22.4
End0.0
Second
40.52.6
34.937.5
Auto0.2
Teleop40.2
End0.0
red by 21.8
4309
#22
18.70.2
18.418.3
Auto0.8
Teleop17.9
End0.0
Third
3238
#10
38.32.6
34.937.4
Auto-0.2
Teleop38.5
End0.0
red by 26.6
4120
#31
11.70.2
11.911.7
Auto-0.2
Teleop11.9
End0.0