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Red56
322317.3
378914.9
214930.5
Blue168
294422.9
460825.2
448874.2
11%Model gave it89%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions51118010015020025056168

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
30.50.4
30.830.4
Auto0.8
Teleop29.7
End0.0
blue by 43.7
74.22.8
70.273.0
Auto0.3
Teleop73.8
End0.0
Second
3223
#20
17.30.4
17.717.3
Auto0.1
Teleop17.2
End0.0
blue by 7.9
25.22.8
22.325.1
Auto-0.0
Teleop25.2
End0.0
Third
3789
#29
14.90.4
15.214.8
Auto-0.2
Teleop15.0
End0.0
blue by 8.0
2944
#11
22.92.8
19.222.0
Auto0.0
Teleop22.9
End0.0