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Red56
214813.7
460825.2
408220.9
Blue62
508511.7
412011.7
406138.3
28%Model gave it72%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions224804060801001201401605662

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
25.21.4
13.014.5
Auto-0.0
Teleop25.2
End0.0
blue by 13.2
38.30.8
20.421.2
Auto-0.1
Teleop38.4
End0.0
Second
4082
#13
20.91.4
10.912.3
Auto0.6
Teleop20.3
End0.0
red by 9.1
5085
#33
11.71.3
12.213.5
Auto-0.1
Teleop11.8
End0.0
Third
2148
#17
13.71.4
3.24.6
Auto1.0
Teleop12.7
End0.0
red by 2.0
4120
#31
11.70.8
13.314.1
Auto-0.2
Teleop11.9
End0.0