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Red59
37129.2
159540.5
358833.2
Blue56
369317.7
445037.9
291018.8
44%Model gave it56%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions475801001502002503005956

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
40.50.4
26.226.6
Auto0.2
Teleop40.2
End0.0
red by 2.6
37.90.1
24.624.5
Auto-0.1
Teleop38.0
End0.0
Second
33.20.4
22.723.2
Auto0.5
Teleop32.7
End0.0
red by 14.4
2910
#24
18.80.1
15.515.4
Auto-0.3
Teleop19.2
End0.0
Third
3712
#30
9.20.4
1.51.9
Auto-0.1
Teleop9.3
End0.0
blue by 8.4
3693
#25
17.70.1
18.318.2
Auto0.2
Teleop17.4
End0.0