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Red128
131841.1
198365.5
465411.6
Blue45
491138.8
366343.6
574815.9
68%Model gave it32%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1179405015020012845

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
65.50.2
65.465.5
Auto-0.4
Teleop66.0
End0.0
red by 21.9
43.60.9
44.543.6
Auto-0.0
Teleop43.6
End0.0
Second
41.10.2
40.941.1
Auto2.1
Teleop39.1
End0.0
red by 2.3
38.80.9
39.738.8
Auto0.2
Teleop38.6
End0.0
Third
4654
#30
11.60.2
11.411.6
Auto-0.3
Teleop11.9
End0.0
blue by 4.4
5748
#17
15.90.9
16.915.9
Auto-0.2
Teleop16.1
End0.0