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Red124
204626.2
290734.9
406017.0
Blue74
297621.7
418022.4
321821.5
67%Model gave it33%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions76590204010012014012474

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
34.90.8
34.134.9
Auto0.4
Teleop34.5
End0.0
red by 12.5
22.40.2
21.922.1
Auto-0.1
Teleop22.6
End0.0
Second
2046
#13
26.20.8
25.426.2
Auto1.3
Teleop24.9
End0.0
red by 4.5
2976
#11
21.70.2
21.121.3
Auto-0.3
Teleop22.0
End0.0
Third
4060
#18
17.00.8
16.317.1
Auto0.4
Teleop16.6
End0.0
blue by 4.5
3218
#19
21.50.2
21.021.2
Auto0.9
Teleop20.7
End0.0