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Red72
293029.6
297621.7
491823.8
Blue95
491138.8
125812.4
420526.8
52%Model gave it48%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions7069204060801001207295

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
29.60.7
28.829.5
Auto0.6
Teleop29.0
End0.0
blue by 9.2
38.81.1
37.438.5
Auto0.2
Teleop38.6
End0.0
Second
4918
#12
23.80.7
21.622.2
Auto-0.2
Teleop24.0
End0.0
blue by 3.0
26.81.1
24.125.3
Auto0.3
Teleop26.5
End0.0
Third
2976
#11
21.70.7
20.521.1
Auto-0.3
Teleop22.0
End0.0
red by 9.3
1258
#26
12.41.2
11.112.4
Auto-0.2
Teleop12.6
End0.0