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Red70
293029.6
260536.5
468313.6
Blue86
297621.7
418022.4
321821.5
71%Model gave it29%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions8159020401001201401607086

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
36.50.2
36.736.5
Auto0.6
Teleop35.9
End0.0
red by 14.1
22.40.4
22.122.4
Auto-0.1
Teleop22.6
End0.0
Second
29.60.2
29.829.6
Auto0.6
Teleop29.0
End0.0
red by 7.9
2976
#11
21.70.4
21.321.7
Auto-0.3
Teleop22.0
End0.0
Third
4683
#24
13.60.2
13.813.6
Auto-0.4
Teleop14.1
End0.0
blue by 7.9
3218
#19
21.50.4
21.221.5
Auto0.9
Teleop20.7
End0.0