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Red92
491823.8
420526.8
396820.7
Blue92
204626.2
290734.9
406017.0
46%Model gave it54%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions66760501001502002509292

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
26.80.4
26.526.8
Auto0.3
Teleop26.5
End0.0
blue by 8.1
34.90.2
34.734.9
Auto0.4
Teleop34.5
End0.0
Second
4918
#12
23.80.4
23.423.8
Auto-0.2
Teleop24.0
End0.0
blue by 2.4
2046
#13
26.20.2
25.926.2
Auto1.3
Teleop24.9
End0.0
Third
3968
#20
20.70.4
20.420.7
Auto-0.1
Teleop20.8
End0.0
red by 3.7
4060
#18
17.00.2
16.817.0
Auto0.4
Teleop16.6
End0.0