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Red137
491138.8
366343.6
574815.9
Blue92
454212.4
281118.0
292821.3
92%Model gave it8%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1063805015020013792

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
43.60.6
43.944.5
Auto-0.0
Teleop43.6
End0.0
red by 22.3
2928
#15
21.30.7
20.621.3
Auto0.1
Teleop21.2
End0.0
Second
38.80.6
39.139.7
Auto0.2
Teleop38.6
End0.0
red by 20.8
2811
#14
18.00.7
17.318.0
Auto0.1
Teleop17.9
End0.0
Third
5748
#17
15.90.6
16.216.8
Auto-0.2
Teleop16.1
End0.0
red by 3.5
4542
#27
12.40.7
11.712.4
Auto0.0
Teleop12.3
End0.0