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Red158
131841.1
198365.5
465411.6
Blue50
498019.6
382622.9
290316.8
91%Model gave it9%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions11348010015020015850

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
65.50.8
61.962.7
Auto-0.4
Teleop66.0
End0.0
red by 42.6
3826
#10
22.90.2
23.122.9
Auto1.1
Teleop21.8
End0.0
Second
41.10.8
37.538.3
Auto2.1
Teleop39.1
End0.0
red by 21.5
4980
#21
19.60.2
19.819.6
Auto1.2
Teleop18.4
End0.0
Third
4654
#30
11.60.8
7.98.8
Auto-0.3
Teleop11.9
End0.0
blue by 5.2
2903
#16
16.80.2
16.916.8
Auto0.2
Teleop16.5
End0.0