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Red48
465411.6
292821.3
204626.2
Blue99
297621.7
406017.0
198365.5
27%Model gave it73%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions40710501001504899

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2046
#13
26.20.1
26.927.0
Auto1.3
Teleop24.9
End0.0
blue by 39.4
65.51.5
45.446.9
Auto-0.4
Teleop66.0
End0.0
Second
2928
#15
21.30.1
15.115.2
Auto0.1
Teleop21.2
End0.0
blue by 0.3
2976
#11
21.71.5
18.920.4
Auto-0.3
Teleop22.0
End0.0
Third
4654
#30
11.60.1
4.54.6
Auto-0.3
Teleop11.9
End0.0
blue by 5.5
4060
#18
17.02.5
4.67.1
Auto0.4
Teleop16.6
End0.0