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Red34
491823.8
574815.9
396820.7
Blue34
29809.5
260536.5
357510.1
55%Model gave it45%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions40381020305060703434

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4918
#12
23.80.4
16.516.1
Auto-0.2
Teleop24.0
End0.0
blue by 12.8
36.50.3
26.225.9
Auto0.6
Teleop35.9
End0.0
Second
3968
#20
20.70.6
12.511.9
Auto-0.1
Teleop20.8
End0.0
red by 10.7
3575
#29
10.10.5
6.56.0
Auto-0.1
Teleop10.2
End0.0
Third
5748
#17
15.90.6
12.411.8
Auto-0.2
Teleop16.1
End0.0
red by 6.4
2980
#22
9.50.5
7.46.9
Auto-0.1
Teleop9.7
End0.0