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Red106
297621.7
198365.5
321821.5
Blue10
290316.8
417311.9
292821.3
96%Model gave it4%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions912605010015010610

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
65.51.1
44.345.4
Auto-0.4
Teleop66.0
End0.0
red by 44.2
2928
#15
21.31.4
16.415.1
Auto0.1
Teleop21.2
End0.0
Second
2976
#11
21.71.1
17.818.9
Auto-0.3
Teleop22.0
End0.0
red by 4.9
2903
#16
16.81.4
11.810.4
Auto0.2
Teleop16.5
End0.0
Third
3218
#19
21.51.1
22.423.5
Auto0.9
Teleop20.7
End0.0
red by 9.7
4173
#23
11.91.4
9.07.6
Auto-0.2
Teleop12.0
End0.0