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Red73
281118.0
491138.8
454212.4
Blue13
498019.6
125812.4
465411.6
71%Model gave it29%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions52300204060801001201407313

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
38.81.1
26.928.1
Auto0.2
Teleop38.6
End0.0
red by 19.2
4980
#21
19.61.1
17.015.9
Auto1.2
Teleop18.4
End0.0
Second
2811
#14
18.01.1
9.811.0
Auto0.1
Teleop17.9
End0.0
red by 5.6
1258
#26
12.41.8
11.09.2
Auto-0.2
Teleop12.6
End0.0
Third
4542
#27
12.41.1
13.314.4
Auto0.0
Teleop12.3
End0.0
red by 0.8
4654
#30
11.61.8
6.34.5
Auto-0.3
Teleop11.9
End0.0