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Red91
491138.8
396820.7
357510.1
Blue83
290734.9
366343.6
266013.4
22%Model gave it78%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions39760501001509183

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
38.82.2
28.130.3
Auto0.2
Teleop38.6
End0.0
blue by 4.8
43.60.5
31.031.5
Auto-0.0
Teleop43.6
End0.0
Second
3968
#20
20.73.7
11.915.7
Auto-0.1
Teleop20.8
End0.0
blue by 14.2
34.90.5
28.128.6
Auto0.4
Teleop34.5
End0.0
Third
3575
#29
10.13.7
6.09.8
Auto-0.1
Teleop10.2
End0.0
blue by 3.4
2660
#25
13.40.5
13.914.4
Auto-0.1
Teleop13.5
End0.0