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Red59
30708.7
498019.6
454212.4
Blue126
290316.8
131841.1
321821.5
32%Model gave it68%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions386405010015059126

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4980
#21
19.60.8
15.916.7
Auto1.2
Teleop18.4
End0.0
blue by 21.5
41.13.2
28.431.6
Auto2.1
Teleop39.1
End0.0
Second
4542
#27
12.40.8
14.415.2
Auto0.0
Teleop12.3
End0.0
blue by 9.2
3218
#19
21.53.2
23.526.7
Auto0.9
Teleop20.7
End0.0
Third
3070
#28
8.71.3
13.314.6
Auto0.2
Teleop8.5
End0.0
blue by 8.1
2903
#16
16.83.2
10.413.6
Auto0.2
Teleop16.5
End0.0