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Red27
125812.4
382622.9
468313.6
Blue85
491823.8
417311.9
260536.5
43%Model gave it57%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions395001001502785

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3826
#10
22.90.7
18.217.5
Auto1.1
Teleop21.8
End0.0
blue by 13.6
36.51.8
25.927.7
Auto0.6
Teleop35.9
End0.0
Second
4683
#24
13.60.7
14.313.6
Auto-0.4
Teleop14.1
End0.0
blue by 10.1
4918
#12
23.81.8
16.117.9
Auto-0.2
Teleop24.0
End0.0
Third
1258
#26
12.41.2
9.28.0
Auto-0.2
Teleop12.6
End0.0
red by 0.5
4173
#23
11.91.8
7.69.4
Auto-0.2
Teleop12.0
End0.0