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Red90
366343.6
297621.7
418022.4
Blue52
131841.1
454212.4
266013.4
59%Model gave it41%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions64582040801001209052

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
43.61.2
31.532.7
Auto-0.0
Teleop43.6
End0.0
red by 2.5
41.10.2
31.631.4
Auto2.1
Teleop39.1
End0.0
Second
22.41.2
13.314.6
Auto-0.1
Teleop22.6
End0.0
red by 9.0
2660
#25
13.40.2
14.414.2
Auto-0.1
Teleop13.5
End0.0
Third
2976
#11
21.71.2
20.421.6
Auto-0.3
Teleop22.0
End0.0
red by 9.3
4542
#27
12.40.2
15.215.0
Auto0.0
Teleop12.3
End0.0