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Red94
290734.9
491823.8
260536.5
Blue127
417311.9
198365.5
29809.5
64%Model gave it36%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions7362020408010012014094127

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
36.51.0
27.728.7
Auto0.6
Teleop35.9
End0.0
blue by 29.0
65.53.0
46.949.9
Auto-0.4
Teleop66.0
End0.0
Second
34.91.0
28.629.6
Auto0.4
Teleop34.5
End0.0
red by 23.0
4173
#23
11.93.0
9.412.4
Auto-0.2
Teleop12.0
End0.0
Third
4918
#12
23.81.0
17.918.9
Auto-0.2
Teleop24.0
End0.0
red by 14.3
2980
#22
9.55.0
10.215.2
Auto-0.1
Teleop9.7
End0.0