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Red66
574815.9
290316.8
125812.4
Blue100
281118.0
30708.7
293029.6
39%Model gave it61%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3455010015020025066100

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2903
#16
16.81.4
13.615.0
Auto0.2
Teleop16.5
End0.0
blue by 12.8
29.62.3
26.428.7
Auto0.6
Teleop29.0
End0.0
Second
5748
#17
15.92.3
17.119.4
Auto-0.2
Teleop16.1
End0.0
blue by 2.1
2811
#14
18.02.3
12.915.2
Auto0.1
Teleop17.9
End0.0
Third
1258
#26
12.42.3
8.010.3
Auto-0.2
Teleop12.6
End0.0
red by 3.7
3070
#28
8.73.8
14.618.4
Auto0.2
Teleop8.5
End0.0