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Red12
290316.8
30708.7
29809.5
Blue16
498019.6
417311.9
491138.8
39%Model gave it61%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions446601001502002501216

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2903
#16
16.81.8
15.013.1
Auto0.2
Teleop16.5
End0.0
blue by 22.0
38.82.4
33.531.1
Auto0.2
Teleop38.6
End0.0
Second
2980
#22
9.53.1
15.212.2
Auto-0.1
Teleop9.7
End0.0
blue by 10.1
4980
#21
19.62.4
18.616.1
Auto1.2
Teleop18.4
End0.0
Third
3070
#28
8.73.1
18.415.4
Auto0.2
Teleop8.5
End0.0
blue by 3.1
4173
#23
11.92.4
12.410.0
Auto-0.2
Teleop12.0
End0.0