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Red56
418022.4
297621.7
357510.1
Blue76
131841.1
293029.6
125812.4
26%Model gave it74%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions39730501001502005676

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
22.40.5
14.615.1
Auto-0.1
Teleop22.6
End0.0
blue by 18.7
41.10.3
31.431.7
Auto2.1
Teleop39.1
End0.0
Second
2976
#11
21.70.5
21.622.1
Auto-0.3
Teleop22.0
End0.0
blue by 7.9
29.60.3
28.729.0
Auto0.6
Teleop29.0
End0.0
Third
3575
#29
10.10.9
9.310.2
Auto-0.1
Teleop10.2
End0.0
blue by 2.3
1258
#26
12.40.5
10.310.7
Auto-0.2
Teleop12.6
End0.0