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Red122
260536.5
366343.6
454212.4
Blue94
198365.5
420526.8
266013.4
39%Model gave it61%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions718905015020025012294

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
43.62.3
32.735.0
Auto-0.0
Teleop43.6
End0.0
blue by 21.9
65.50.8
49.950.7
Auto-0.4
Teleop66.0
End0.0
Second
36.52.3
28.731.0
Auto0.6
Teleop35.9
End0.0
red by 9.7
26.80.8
25.626.4
Auto0.3
Teleop26.5
End0.0
Third
4542
#27
12.42.3
15.017.3
Auto0.0
Teleop12.3
End0.0
blue by 1.0
2660
#25
13.40.8
14.215.0
Auto-0.1
Teleop13.5
End0.0