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Red56
406017.0
204626.2
491823.8
Blue8
281118.0
396820.7
468313.6
70%Model gave it30%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions583902080100120140568

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2046
#13
26.20.1
26.025.9
Auto1.3
Teleop24.9
End0.0
red by 5.5
3968
#20
20.72.9
15.212.3
Auto-0.1
Teleop20.8
End0.0
Second
4918
#12
23.80.1
18.918.8
Auto-0.2
Teleop24.0
End0.0
red by 5.8
2811
#14
18.01.8
15.213.5
Auto0.1
Teleop17.9
End0.0
Third
4060
#18
17.00.1
12.512.4
Auto0.4
Teleop16.6
End0.0
red by 3.4
4683
#24
13.61.8
12.610.8
Auto-0.4
Teleop14.1
End0.0