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Red18
574815.9
321821.5
292821.3
Blue34
465411.6
382622.9
290734.9
65%Model gave it35%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions634902040801001201401601834

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3218
#19
21.52.3
25.723.5
Auto0.9
Teleop20.7
End0.0
blue by 13.4
34.91.0
29.628.7
Auto0.4
Teleop34.5
End0.0
Second
2928
#15
21.32.3
18.416.1
Auto0.1
Teleop21.2
End0.0
blue by 1.6
3826
#10
22.91.0
19.318.4
Auto1.1
Teleop21.8
End0.0
Third
5748
#17
15.93.8
19.415.6
Auto-0.2
Teleop16.1
End0.0
red by 4.4
4654
#30
11.61.6
4.22.6
Auto-0.3
Teleop11.9
End0.0