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Red48
406017.0
293029.6
418022.4
Blue123
491823.8
198365.5
382622.9
21%Model gave it79%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4891015020048123

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
29.60.4
29.028.6
Auto0.6
Teleop29.0
End0.0
blue by 35.9
65.51.8
50.752.5
Auto-0.4
Teleop66.0
End0.0
Second
22.40.4
15.114.7
Auto-0.1
Teleop22.6
End0.0
blue by 1.4
4918
#12
23.81.8
18.820.6
Auto-0.2
Teleop24.0
End0.0
Third
4060
#18
17.00.7
12.411.7
Auto0.4
Teleop16.6
End0.0
blue by 5.9
3826
#10
22.91.8
18.420.1
Auto1.1
Teleop21.8
End0.0