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Red54
29809.5
321821.5
468313.6
Blue86
290734.9
454212.4
292821.3
36%Model gave it64%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions426301001505486

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3218
#19
21.50.4
23.523.8
Auto0.9
Teleop20.7
End0.0
blue by 13.4
34.91.5
28.730.2
Auto0.4
Teleop34.5
End0.0
Second
4683
#24
13.60.4
10.811.2
Auto-0.4
Teleop14.1
End0.0
blue by 7.7
2928
#15
21.31.5
16.117.6
Auto0.1
Teleop21.2
End0.0
Third
2980
#22
9.50.6
12.212.8
Auto-0.1
Teleop9.7
End0.0
blue by 2.9
4542
#27
12.41.5
17.318.8
Auto0.0
Teleop12.3
End0.0