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Red20
420526.8
357510.1
30708.7
Blue76
491138.8
574815.9
465411.6
56%Model gave it44%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions51470204060801002076

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
26.81.6
26.424.8
Auto0.3
Teleop26.5
End0.0
blue by 12.0
38.81.3
31.132.5
Auto0.2
Teleop38.6
End0.0
Second
3575
#29
10.12.7
10.27.5
Auto-0.1
Teleop10.2
End0.0
blue by 5.9
5748
#17
15.92.2
15.617.8
Auto-0.2
Teleop16.1
End0.0
Third
3070
#28
8.72.7
15.412.7
Auto0.2
Teleop8.5
End0.0
blue by 2.8
4654
#30
11.62.2
2.64.9
Auto-0.3
Teleop11.9
End0.0