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Red118
292821.3
366343.6
382622.9
Blue77
131841.1
290316.8
281118.0
66%Model gave it34%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions7558010015011877

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
43.62.2
37.239.3
Auto-0.0
Teleop43.6
End0.0
red by 2.5
41.10.7
33.934.6
Auto2.1
Teleop39.1
End0.0
Second
3826
#10
22.92.2
20.122.3
Auto1.1
Teleop21.8
End0.0
red by 4.9
2811
#14
18.00.7
15.416.2
Auto0.1
Teleop17.9
End0.0
Third
2928
#15
21.32.2
17.619.8
Auto0.1
Teleop21.2
End0.0
red by 4.6
2903
#16
16.80.7
13.013.7
Auto0.2
Teleop16.5
End0.0