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Red40
454212.4
321821.5
125812.4
Blue121
204626.2
574815.9
198365.5
24%Model gave it76%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions417705010015020040121

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3218
#19
21.50.4
22.922.4
Auto0.9
Teleop20.7
End0.0
blue by 44.0
65.52.3
42.044.3
Auto-0.4
Teleop66.0
End0.0
Second
1258
#26
12.40.7
11.711.0
Auto-0.2
Teleop12.6
End0.0
blue by 13.8
2046
#13
26.22.3
23.926.2
Auto1.3
Teleop24.9
End0.0
Third
4542
#27
12.40.4
13.713.3
Auto0.0
Teleop12.3
End0.0
blue by 3.5
5748
#17
15.916.0
28.412.4
Auto-0.2
Teleop16.1
End0.0