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Red44
293029.6
266013.4
382622.9
Blue94
420526.8
366343.6
468313.6
49%Model gave it52%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions555901001502002503003504494

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
29.60.7
23.923.3
Auto0.6
Teleop29.0
End0.0
blue by 14.0
43.61.7
29.331.0
Auto-0.0
Teleop43.6
End0.0
Second
3826
#10
22.90.7
18.918.2
Auto1.1
Teleop21.8
End0.0
blue by 3.9
26.81.7
18.920.6
Auto0.3
Teleop26.5
End0.0
Third
2660
#25
13.40.7
14.513.9
Auto-0.1
Teleop13.5
End0.0
blue by 0.2
4683
#24
13.61.7
12.614.3
Auto-0.4
Teleop14.1
End0.0