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Red96
290734.9
396820.7
321821.5
Blue121
418022.4
491138.8
382622.9
52%Model gave it48%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions737240608010012096121

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
34.91.1
33.434.4
Auto0.4
Teleop34.5
End0.0
blue by 3.9
38.82.5
34.937.4
Auto0.2
Teleop38.6
End0.0
Second
3218
#19
21.51.1
21.622.7
Auto0.9
Teleop20.7
End0.0
blue by 1.4
3826
#10
22.92.5
22.324.8
Auto1.1
Teleop21.8
End0.0
Third
3968
#20
20.71.3
19.821.1
Auto-0.1
Teleop20.8
End0.0
blue by 1.7
22.42.5
19.221.7
Auto-0.1
Teleop22.6
End0.0