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Red11
574815.9
266013.4
30708.7
Blue35
406017.0
468313.6
465411.6
55%Model gave it45%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions424002060801135

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5748
#17
15.92.0
17.415.4
Auto-0.2
Teleop16.1
End0.0
blue by 1.1
4060
#18
17.00.4
18.718.2
Auto0.4
Teleop16.6
End0.0
Second
2660
#25
13.41.6
14.813.2
Auto-0.1
Teleop13.5
End0.0
blue by 0.2
4683
#24
13.60.4
13.613.3
Auto-0.4
Teleop14.1
End0.0
Third
3070
#28
8.72.0
11.59.5
Auto0.2
Teleop8.5
End0.0
blue by 2.8
4654
#30
11.60.4
9.99.4
Auto-0.3
Teleop11.9
End0.0