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Red149
131841.1
198365.5
465411.6
Blue82
491823.8
420526.8
396820.7
87%Model gave it13%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions11459010015020014982

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
65.50.7
62.763.4
Auto-0.4
Teleop66.0
End0.0
red by 38.7
26.80.2
26.226.4
Auto0.3
Teleop26.5
End0.0
Second
41.10.7
38.339.0
Auto2.1
Teleop39.1
End0.0
red by 17.3
4918
#12
23.80.2
23.223.4
Auto-0.2
Teleop24.0
End0.0
Third
4654
#30
11.60.7
8.89.4
Auto-0.3
Teleop11.9
End0.0
blue by 9.2
3968
#20
20.70.2
20.120.4
Auto-0.1
Teleop20.8
End0.0