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Red123
366354.9
131850.2
465414.9
Blue54
491526.8
378736.6
468214.7
89%Model gave it11%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1236805010015020012354

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
54.90.1
54.454.5
Auto-0.2
Teleop55.1
End0.0
red by 18.3
36.60.4
36.836.4
Auto0.5
Teleop36.1
End0.0
Second
50.20.1
49.849.8
Auto1.3
Teleop49.0
End0.0
red by 23.4
4915
#12
26.80.4
27.126.6
Auto0.2
Teleop26.6
End0.0
Third
4654
#27
14.90.1
14.414.5
Auto-0.5
Teleop15.4
End0.0
red by 0.2
4682
#23
14.70.4
14.914.5
Auto-0.1
Teleop14.8
End0.0