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Red138
366354.9
131850.2
465414.9
Blue88
491526.8
378736.6
468214.7
90%Model gave it10%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1236605010015020013888

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
54.90.4
54.554.9
Auto-0.2
Teleop55.1
End0.0
red by 18.3
36.60.2
36.436.6
Auto0.5
Teleop36.1
End0.0
Second
50.20.4
49.850.2
Auto1.3
Teleop49.0
End0.0
red by 23.4
4915
#12
26.80.2
26.626.8
Auto0.2
Teleop26.6
End0.0
Third
4654
#27
14.90.4
14.514.9
Auto-0.5
Teleop15.4
End0.0
red by 0.2
4682
#23
14.70.2
14.514.7
Auto-0.1
Teleop14.8
End0.0