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Red109
491141.6
49237.5
446114.5
Blue73
94923.1
408922.7
255520.5
81%Model gave it19%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions9457015010973

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
41.60.3
41.041.2
Auto0.0
Teleop41.5
End0.0
red by 18.4
949
#21
23.10.1
22.722.9
Auto0.2
Teleop22.9
End0.0
Second
492
#3
37.50.3
36.937.2
Auto-0.0
Teleop37.6
End0.0
red by 14.8
4089
#10
22.70.1
22.322.5
Auto0.1
Teleop22.6
End0.0
Third
4461
#26
14.50.3
13.914.2
Auto-0.2
Teleop14.6
End0.0
blue by 6.0
2555
#14
20.50.1
20.120.3
Auto0.2
Teleop20.3
End0.0