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Red96
366354.9
131850.2
465414.9
Blue104
491526.8
378736.6
468214.7
90%Model gave it10%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1246405010015020025096104

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
54.90.4
54.754.3
Auto-0.2
Teleop55.1
End0.0
red by 18.3
36.60.5
35.836.3
Auto0.5
Teleop36.1
End0.0
Second
50.20.4
50.049.6
Auto1.3
Teleop49.0
End0.0
red by 23.4
4915
#12
26.80.5
26.026.5
Auto0.2
Teleop26.6
End0.0
Third
4654
#27
14.90.4
14.714.3
Auto-0.5
Teleop15.4
End0.0
red by 0.2
4682
#23
14.70.5
13.914.4
Auto-0.1
Teleop14.8
End0.0