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Red4
29426.9
468214.7
549515.9
Blue46
49237.5
465414.9
413116.9
42%Model gave it58%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions34500100150200446

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5495
#24
15.91.7
14.512.9
Auto0.6
Teleop15.3
End0.0
blue by 21.7
492
#3
37.50.2
28.127.9
Auto-0.0
Teleop37.6
End0.0
Second
4682
#23
14.71.7
10.18.5
Auto-0.1
Teleop14.8
End0.0
blue by 2.2
4131
#20
16.90.2
9.49.2
Auto-0.3
Teleop17.1
End0.0
Third
2942
#31
6.92.8
12.910.1
Auto-0.1
Teleop7.0
End0.0
blue by 8.0
4654
#27
14.90.2
12.011.8
Auto-0.5
Teleop15.4
End0.0