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Red29
451220.4
255724.3
408922.7
Blue70
366354.9
368119.1
326816.0
30%Model gave it70%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions447201001502002970

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2557
#18
24.31.0
21.920.9
Auto0.4
Teleop23.9
End0.0
blue by 30.7
54.90.0
41.741.6
Auto-0.2
Teleop55.1
End0.0
Second
4089
#10
22.71.0
16.215.2
Auto0.1
Teleop22.6
End0.0
red by 3.6
3681
#16
19.10.0
15.215.2
Auto0.3
Teleop18.8
End0.0
Third
4512
#11
20.41.0
11.510.4
Auto0.6
Teleop19.8
End0.0
red by 4.4
3268
#22
16.00.0
13.313.3
Auto-0.3
Teleop16.3
End0.0