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Red53
491526.8
307015.8
403015.9
Blue17
94923.1
549515.9
378616.7
55%Model gave it45%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions49492030354045555317

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4915
#12
26.80.1
24.124.2
Auto0.2
Teleop26.6
End0.0
red by 3.7
949
#21
23.11.1
22.821.7
Auto0.2
Teleop22.9
End0.0
Second
4030
#29
15.90.1
13.513.6
Auto-0.3
Teleop16.2
End0.0
blue by 0.8
3786
#19
16.71.8
15.213.4
Auto-0.3
Teleop16.9
End0.0
Third
3070
#15
15.80.1
13.513.6
Auto0.6
Teleop15.2
End0.0
Level
5495
#24
15.91.1
12.911.8
Auto0.6
Teleop15.3
End0.0