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Red30
465414.9
430412.7
255724.3
Blue93
131850.2
558816.6
378736.6
11%Model gave it89%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions29890501001502003093

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2557
#18
24.30.2
20.920.7
Auto0.4
Teleop23.9
End0.0
blue by 26.0
50.20.5
43.744.2
Auto1.3
Teleop49.0
End0.0
Second
4654
#27
14.90.2
11.811.6
Auto-0.5
Teleop15.4
End0.0
blue by 21.7
36.60.5
28.128.6
Auto0.5
Teleop36.1
End0.0
Third
4304
#25
12.70.3
6.96.6
Auto-0.2
Teleop12.9
End0.0
blue by 3.9
5588
#17
16.60.9
10.711.6
Auto-0.2
Teleop16.8
End0.0