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Red81
396833.2
491141.6
446114.5
Blue98
366354.9
48828.1
413116.9
53%Model gave it47%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions75734060801001208198

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
41.60.3
40.240.5
Auto0.0
Teleop41.5
End0.0
blue by 13.4
54.91.0
41.642.7
Auto-0.2
Teleop55.1
End0.0
Second
33.20.3
27.828.0
Auto0.2
Teleop33.0
End0.0
red by 5.1
488
#9
28.11.0
26.427.4
Auto0.2
Teleop27.9
End0.0
Third
4461
#26
14.50.5
7.37.7
Auto-0.2
Teleop14.6
End0.0
blue by 2.4
4131
#20
16.91.0
9.210.3
Auto-0.3
Teleop17.1
End0.0