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Red65
49237.5
52954.2
418015.9
Blue75
177822.1
368119.1
407713.7
62%Model gave it38%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions524502060801006575

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
492
#3
37.50.6
29.530.1
Auto-0.0
Teleop37.6
End0.0
red by 15.5
1778
#13
22.11.4
21.623.0
Auto0.6
Teleop21.5
End0.0
Second
4180
#28
15.90.6
18.719.3
Auto-0.0
Teleop16.0
End0.0
blue by 3.2
3681
#16
19.11.4
15.216.6
Auto0.3
Teleop18.8
End0.0
Third
5295
#32
4.20.6
4.55.2
Auto0.2
Teleop4.0
End0.0
blue by 9.5
4077
#30
13.71.4
10.612.0
Auto0.5
Teleop13.2
End0.0