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Red41
368119.1
468214.7
491526.8
Blue58
408922.7
255724.3
418015.9
45%Model gave it55%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions455701001502002504158

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4915
#12
26.80.4
24.123.8
Auto0.2
Teleop26.6
End0.0
red by 2.5
2557
#18
24.30.0
21.521.5
Auto0.4
Teleop23.9
End0.0
Second
3681
#16
19.10.4
15.915.6
Auto0.3
Teleop18.8
End0.0
blue by 3.6
4089
#10
22.70.0
13.613.7
Auto0.1
Teleop22.6
End0.0
Third
4682
#23
14.70.4
8.37.9
Auto-0.1
Teleop14.8
End0.0
blue by 1.2
4180
#28
15.90.0
22.422.5
Auto-0.0
Teleop16.0
End0.0